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Executive Briefings

Published

Federal Construction Award Momentum

State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending — a leading demand signal.

Q2 2026Updated Q2 2026DirectionalWIL-2026.1Capital Allocation

At a glance

ConfidenceDirectionalWIL-2026.1

Executive Brief

Decision-ready summary for leadership review — directional bands only, no raw data exports.

Standing Brief · Federal Award Momentum

Federal Construction Award Momentum

USAspending contract-award flow translated into directional momentum tiers — operational read for executive pursuit and staffing planning.

51States trackedNAICS-23 coverage
26Expanding+Momentum tier
31Construction NAICSAll subsectors
2026-06Last updatedRolling T12M
Coverage: 51 statesSource: USAspending (NAICS-23)Compare exposure markets →

Full Report

Complete structured analysis with charts, rankings, and methodology confidence.

High

Federal construction award flow is expanding rapidly year-over-year. Pursuit and staffing pressure is building fastest here.19 markets
KentuckyHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IdahoHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
GeorgiaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
DelawareHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumemoderate volume
ConnecticutHigh
TrendEasing
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
CaliforniaHigh
TrendExpanding
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
ArizonaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
AlabamaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
AlaskaHigh
TrendEasing
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
NebraskaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
New HampshireHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumemoderate volume
New JerseyHigh
TrendAccelerating
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
New MexicoHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OklahomaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
Rhode IslandHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
TexasHigh
TrendStable
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
VermontHigh
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumemoderate volume
WashingtonHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
WyomingHigh
TrendAccelerating
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume

Elevated

Award flow is expanding at an above-trend pace. Worth active monitoring for hiring and capacity planning.7 markets
MinnesotaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
HawaiiElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
NevadaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
TennesseeElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
UtahElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
VirginiaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
West VirginiaElevated
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume

Moderate

Award flow is broadly steady against the prior year. Conditions are stable but demand-cycle sensitive.11 markets
MassachusettsModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
LouisianaModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IndianaModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MissouriModerate
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IowaModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
ArkansasModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IllinoisModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MississippiModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
North CarolinaModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OhioModerate
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
South CarolinaModerate
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume

Low

Award flow is subdued or contracting versus the prior year. Near-term federal demand pressure is limited.14 markets
MichiganLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MaineLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
MarylandLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
KansasLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
FloridaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
District of ColumbiaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
ColoradoLow
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MontanaLow
TrendStable
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
North DakotaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
New YorkLow
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OregonLow
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
PennsylvaniaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
South DakotaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
WisconsinLow
TrendEasing
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
Published reads report at the state level as directional bands. Segment- or company-level award intelligence is available through the research team.

Interactive Visualizations

Charts, indicators, and comparative views — institutional evidence without raw record access.

Award momentum composition

Award-momentum composition across tracked states
High 19 Elevated 7 Moderate 11 Low 14

Methodology Summary

Source families, framework version, and confidence framing — not proprietary formulas or scoring weights.

Institutional workforce intelligence methodology with documented confidence tier, source-family transparency, and quarterly refresh cadence. Public library packages exclude proprietary model details and raw-data exports.

Version
WIL-2026.1
Source families
BLS OEWS · BLS QCEW
Update cadence
Quarterly
Confidence
Directional

Executive Presentation

Slide-style summary for board and leadership review.

Slide 1

Situation Summary

State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending — a leading demand signal.

Slide 2

Key Findings

1. State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending

Slide 3

Implications

Directional workforce intelligence for institutional planning — banded operational reads without exposing raw-data exports or proprietary model details.