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San Jose — Workforce Exposure Assessment™

Workforce Exposure Assessment™ · Exposure Assessment · H1 2026

← MatrixSan Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara · Elevated (67)Slug: ca-san-jose-exposure-assessment
WorkflowPublished
Completion
100%
Exposure section
100%
Owner
Research Team
Published
2026-06-08

Advance one step at a time: draft → in progress → under review → approved → published. Publish requires 100% completion, approved status, and a full exposure section for Exposure Assessment deliverables.

Live on the research library at /reports/ca-workforce-atlas/ca-san-jose-exposure-assessment. Sync Supabase via POST /api/admin/ca-atlas/seed after migration.

Thesis

Exposure Assessment — San Jose MSA at Elevated tier with accelerating CHIPS momentum and material wage premium.

Executive summary

Role exposure concentrates at mission-critical PM, electrical superintendent, and semiconductor program leadership. Senior band reads High despite Elevated composite.

Metrics
WEI composite: 67
Elevated tier
Employment trend: Accelerating
QCEW Q3 2025
Wage position: Material premium
vs. national median
Elevated Exposure

Senior semiconductor band acutely constrained

Mission-critical replacement timelines exceed 60 days; treat senior band as High exposure.

Key observations
  • Mission-critical PM exposure very high on fab scopes.
  • Two semiconductor key-person risks with succession implications.
  • Electrical superintendent bench compressing on CHIPS demand.
Recommendations
Publish quarterly CHIPS exposure map
Refresh semiconductor role exposure each quarter.
Activate premium retention
Pre-fund top-quartile retention before public award announcements.
Exposure assessment

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara · H1 2026 · Tier Elevated · accelerating · material_premium

San Jose markets read Elevated on composite exposure with accelerating semiconductor and data-center adjacent demand — CHIPS Act and hyperscale spillover from NoVA-style pressure patterns. Organizational exposure concentrates in electrical superintendent, mission-critical PM, and cleanroom-adjacent MEP roles where premium compensation and security requirements compress the pool.

Key roles

Mission-Critical PM — veryhigh
Thin — semiconductor experience required · Accelerating trend sustains poaching from Bay Area.
Electrical Superintendent — high
Moderate — premium market · Data-center and fab scopes compete for same bench.
MEP Estimator — high
Thin at senior precon · Material premium — retention risk on CHIPS pursuits.

Executive implication

San Jose is a premium, accelerating market — viable for semiconductor and data-center thesis only with pre-staged mission-critical leadership and top-quartile compensation. Accelerating trend means entry window is narrowing; treat as High-exposure on senior roles despite Elevated composite.

Data sources & limitations

Sources

  • BLS QCEW
  • BLS OEWS
  • CHIPS award tracking
  • Data-center pipeline
  • AlphaHire posting intelligence

Scope limitations

  • Semiconductor vs. commercial split not fully isolated in MSA read.
  • Security and cleanroom requirements not modeled at individual level.
  • H1 2026 snapshot — accelerating CHIPS demand can tighten within one quarter.