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San Diego — Workforce Due Diligence™

Workforce Due Diligence™ · Due Diligence · H1 2026

← MatrixSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad · Elevated (58)Slug: ca-san-diego-due-diligence
WorkflowPublished
Completion
100%
Exposure section
100%
Owner
Research Team
Published
2026-06-08

Advance one step at a time: draft → in progress → under review → approved → published. Publish requires 100% completion, approved status, and a full exposure section for Exposure Assessment deliverables.

Live on the research library at /reports/ca-workforce-atlas/ca-san-diego-due-diligence. Sync Supabase via POST /api/admin/ca-atlas/seed after migration.

Thesis

San Diego diligence must test federal-program key-person risk and clearance dependency — Elevated exposure with expanding demand.

Executive summary

Workforce DD on San Diego targets is favorable vs. LA on commercial work but federal-program concentration and clearance holders are deal risks on defense-exposed platforms.

Metrics
WEI composite: 58
Elevated tier
Employment trend: Expanding
QCEW Q3 2025
Wage position: Modest premium
vs. inland MSAs
Proceed with Mitigation

Clearance holders and federal PM bench are deal conditions

Commercial backlog is executable; federal key-person risk is not.

Key observations
  • Federal Programs VP holds two largest Navy relationships.
  • Single cleared PM for concurrent federal pursuits.
  • Modest premium aids retention if addressed before poaching cycle.
Recommendations
Clearance retention package
Structure retention for clearance holders with relationship transfer milestones.
Federal PM redundancy
Fund second cleared PM before close on defense-heavy targets.
Exposure assessment

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad · H1 2026 · Tier Elevated · expanding · modest_premium

San Diego markets read Elevated on composite exposure with expanding employment — defense, biotech, and coastal commercial demand compete for the same senior PM and electrical bench. Organizational exposure is demand-driven: adequate field depth today, tightening senior band as Navy and life-sciences capital programs accelerate.

Key roles

Commercial PM — high
Moderate — defense contractors anchor pool · Security clearance narrows passive pool on federal work.
Electrical Superintendent — moderate
Adequate for standard commercial · Watch LA poaching on life-sciences builds.
Superintendent — moderate
Adequate — strong local contractor base · Modest premium vs. inland aids retention on 90-day timelines.

Executive implication

San Diego is enterable with standard timelines on commercial work; federal and life-sciences scopes require clearance-aware recruiting and premium positioning. Expanding trend will compress the senior PM band within two quarters.

Data sources & limitations

Sources

  • BLS QCEW
  • BLS OEWS
  • CSLB license feed
  • Federal award momentum
  • Permit velocity

Scope limitations

  • Clearance requirements not modeled at individual level.
  • Defense vs. commercial split not resolved in MSA composite.
  • H1 2026 snapshot — expanding trend can tighten senior band quickly.